
El Niño and the Strait of Hormuz: Two Shocks, One Fragile Market
Climate risk and geopolitical disruption are colliding in 2026, creating a powerful new threat to global commodity markets.
Insights, analysis, and perspectives from the Deepcore team on global commodity markets.

Climate risk and geopolitical disruption are colliding in 2026, creating a powerful new threat to global commodity markets.

USDA FAS May 2026 data on Brazil, India, EU, Thailand, China, trade flows, and ending stocks shaping the global sugar balance.

Why better commodity data produces stronger signals, higher conviction, and better trading decisions.

Global corn production is forecast to decline in 2026/27 while consumption reaches another record high, tightening world supplies.

Brazil soybean and soybean meal exports continue expanding as global demand remains strong in 2026.

Why India's export restrictions have become one of the most important drivers of global sugar prices.

Why crowded trades in commodity markets are getting worse, and how physical price data sourced directly from brokers creates a structural edge.

With El Niño increasingly likely to emerge in 2026, the global sugar balance faces a weather threat that could tip a fragile surplus into deficit.

Why the difference between sugarcane ethanol and corn ethanol is reshaping global sugar, grain, and energy markets.

Why the war in Iran just reminded energy traders they can't afford to ignore the sugar market.